Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 5.526447 6.439946 7.423294 8.556556 9.822436 11.188833 12.771049
2025-03-23 4.233204 5.466552 6.899227 8.669868 10.781922 13.202790 16.168650
2025-03-30 3.220676 4.594469 6.309755 8.569588 11.426126 14.873120 19.299155
2025-04-06 2.357051 3.723804 5.558388 8.129663 11.561602 15.901831 21.712748
2025-04-13 1.722493 3.018984 4.889044 7.670526 11.576150 16.730470 23.892616
2025-04-20 1.448568 2.773135 4.801497 7.966596 12.591583 18.898584 27.911846
2025-04-27 1.308926 2.704744 4.953663 8.605074 14.115970 21.829969 33.099835
2025-05-04 1.159985 2.587324 5.004811 9.082551 15.427399 24.526976 38.093147
2025-05-11 0.962436 2.338850 4.801859 9.130404 16.085819 26.316207 41.889304
2025-05-18 0.760345 2.032552 4.449512 8.886261 16.258500 27.386454 44.687175
2025-05-25 0.604165 1.778779 4.146580 8.679753 16.454954 28.477993 47.537472
2025-06-01 0.495118 1.598628 3.949731 8.626894 16.880193 29.917677 50.939748
2025-06-08 0.393313 1.409729 3.711949 8.485362 17.165989 31.187942 54.199147
2025-06-15 0.356138 1.376566 3.790096 8.939724 18.498697 34.173417 60.201490
2025-06-22 0.298566 1.269290 3.691327 9.041600 19.219577 36.208893 64.812432
2025-06-29 0.225127 1.086064 3.387816 8.699969 19.117556 36.890104 67.318816
2025-07-06 0.164095 0.912428 3.069086 8.282139 18.832931 37.238596 69.291567
2025-07-13 0.146560 0.886469 3.113078 8.637386 20.015486 40.108824 75.426378
2025-07-20 0.143651 0.917245 3.309791 9.343235 21.905291 44.257137 83.767886
2025-07-27 0.134025 0.916794 3.422063 9.868382 23.469834 47.894829 91.369437
2025-08-03 0.111235 0.848053 3.333942 9.928814 24.124188 49.967515 96.439823
2025-08-10 0.084542 0.743414 3.120896 9.673283 24.127867 50.886448 99.604611
2025-08-17 0.064192 0.654763 2.934270 9.455531 24.186110 51.893875 102.936006